The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan discussed the situation in Syria and Gaza with US Secretary of State Blinken. Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan: We discussed the possible roles of Turkey and the United States in Syria in the future. Our primary task is to ensure the stability of Syria and prevent extremist organizations "Islamic State" and the PKK from taking control of Syria.
Some deposit interest rates have returned to the "2% era". At the end of the year, some small and medium-sized banks "saved money" with high interest rates. Near the end of the year, under the general environment of lowering the RRR and reducing the interest margin, many small and medium-sized banks "bucked the trend", or raised the deposit interest rate and raised interest rates to save money, or launched high-interest deposit products. According to the incomplete statistics of the announcements issued by banks, more than ten small and medium-sized banks have announced to raise deposit interest rates or launch high-interest deposit products. The reporter found out that the phenomenon that some small and medium-sized banks attract customers' deposits at high interest rates does not exist only at the end of the year. In the second half of this year, "high interest rates" are an important "selling point" of their deposit products. (21 Finance)Stock index futures continued to fall, and the main contract of SSE 50 Stock Index Futures (IH) fell by 2.00% in the day, and now it is reported at 2,653.6 points. The main contract of CSI 500 stock index futures (IC) fell by 2.00% in the day and is now reported at 5976.8 points.Goldman Sachs lowered the UK's GDP growth forecast for 2024 from the previous 1.2% to 1.0%.
Baiyun Airport: The passenger throughput in the first November increased by 21.16% year-on-year. Baiyun Airport (600004) released the November production and operation data express on the evening of December 13th, and Baiyun Airport took 43,637 flights (sorties) in November, up by 12.94% year-on-year. Passenger throughput was 6,504,400 person-times, up by 19.94% year-on-year; The cargo and mail throughput was 212,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.68%. Baiyun Airport took off and landed 465,983 sorties from January to November, up 12.05% year-on-year; The passenger throughput was 69.6674 million person-times, up by 21.16% year-on-year; The cargo and mail throughput was 2,161,300 tons, up 18.12% year-on-year.Deutsche Bank: There is little hope that the British economy will rebound at the end of the year. Sanjay Raja, an economist at Deutsche Bank, wrote in a research report that the British economy will face more twists and turns in the future. Data released on Friday showed that Britain's GDP contracted again in October from the previous month, which surprised the market. Raja said that business surveys predict that economic activity will further weaken in the last few months of this year. In his research report, he reminded investors that the uncertainty in taxation and expenditure, coupled with the reduction in retail and service consumption caused by bad weather, added more resistance to Britain's fragile economic recovery.Shanghai Electric established a new company including machinery and equipment sales business. According to the enterprise search APP, Shanghai Dixi New Energy Co., Ltd. was established with Ye Can as its legal representative and registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: power generation business, power transmission business and power supply (distribution) business; Installation, maintenance and testing of power transmission, power supply and power reception facilities; Mechanical equipment sales; Mechanical and electrical equipment sales, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Shanghai Electric New Energy Development Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Shanghai Electric.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13